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The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are perhaps the most widely-used information criteria (IC) in model building and selection. A fourth, Minimum Description Length (MDL), is closely related to the BIC. In a nutshell, they provide guidance as which alternative model provides the most "bang for buck," i.e., the best fit after penalizing for model complexity. Penalizing for complexity is important since, given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model is most likely to be the best choice. In line with Occam's razor, complex models sometimes perform poorly on data not used in the model building. There are several others, including AIC3, SABIC, and CAIC, and no clear consensus among authorities as far as I am aware as to which is "best" overall. IC will not necessarily agree on which model should be chosen. Cross-validation, Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) statistic, a kind of cross-validation, and Mallows’ Cp are also used instead of IC. Information criteria are covered in varying levels in detail in most statistics textbooks and are the subject of numerous academic papers. I know of no single go-to source on this topic.

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The Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are perhaps the most widely-used information criteria (IC) in model building and selection. A fourth, Minimum Description Length (MDL), is closely related to the BIC. In a nutshell, they provide guidance as which alternative model provides the most "bang for buck," i.e., the best fit after penalizing for model complexity. Penalizing for complexity is important since, given candidate models of similar predictive or explanatory power, the simplest model is most likely to be the best choice. In line with Occam's razor, complex models sometimes perform poorly on data not used in the model building. There are several others, including AIC3, SABIC, and CAIC, and no clear consensus among authorities as far as I am aware as to which is "best" overall. IC will not necessarily agree on which model should be chosen. Cross-validation, Predicted Residual Error Sum of Squares (PRESS) statistic, a kind of cross-validation, and Mallows’ Cp are also used instead of IC. Information criteria are covered in varying levels in detail in most statistics textbooks and are the subject of numerous academic papers. I know of no single go-to source on this topic.

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How to Invest in Bitcoin?

Like a stock, you can buy and hold Bitcoin as an investment. You can even now do so in special retirement accounts called Bitcoin IRAs. No matter where you choose to hold your Bitcoin, people’s philosophies on how to invest it vary: Some buy and hold long term, some buy and aim to sell after a price rally, and others bet on its price decreasing. Bitcoin’s price over time has experienced big price swings, going as low as $5,165 and as high as $28,990 in 2020 alone. “I think in some places, people might be using Bitcoin to pay for things, but the truth is that it’s an asset that looks like it’s going to be increasing in value relatively quickly for some time,” Marquez says. “So why would you sell something that’s going to be worth so much more next year than it is today? The majority of people that hold it are long-term investors.”

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